Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

I hadn’t heard of this word before I found it many years ago and offered a challenge to those who worked with me in my lobbying firm.

Use it in testimony before the Oregon Legislature, I said, and if you do, I’ll buy you dinner.

My colleagues said they intended take me up on the offer, but none has succeeded, at least so far.

Then, this week one of my former colleagues, still a good friend, found the word in a legislative document.  She sent it to me, thinking, I guess, that I would make good on my past dinner offer.

But, no, just finding the word, not using it, doesn’t qualify.

What in the world does eleemosynary the mean?

Here is the definition:

“Relating to alms, charity, or charitable donations; charitable.”

So, if you think about it in the context of testifying before legislators in Oregon on bills that could help low-income citizens, it would be possible to use the word in a sentence.

Possible?  Yes.

But easy?  No.

Plus, if you used the word, you would have to submit to a question asking for a definition.  So, you better be prepared.  And, in the background of any legislative hearing room, your lobbying colleagues would try to refrain from laughing out loud.

One more question?  How did I ever find the word in the first place?  Well, given my advanced age, I cannot remember.

But, still, a dinner awaits if any one of my former lobbying colleagues can use the word in testimony and prove, to me, that they did.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

I wrote yesterday about the surprise for many Donald Trump voters – higher prices sparked by Trump-tariffs.

Many Trump voters didn’t know what tariffs would mean.  They will soon. 

Higher prices!

The Washington Post provided a public service yesterday by writing a story outlining where higher prices will strike in “Trump’s trade war.”

Here is a summary:

Cellphones, clothes and household goods

China is the main source of imported consumer goods, sending about $210 billion worth of everyday household items into the United States last year.  That means electronics like cellphones, apparel like cotton shirts or shoes and children’s toys could be subject to higher tariffs than they are now.

Industry groups have warned these taxes could increase prices.  The Consumer Technology Association, modeling an earlier tariff proposal from Trump, said that smartphones could cost about $213 more.

“There’s very little in [the] consumer electronics space that is not imported,” Best Buy CEO Corie Barry said on the company’s earnings call last week.

Companies making everything from shoes to hardware have already said they plan to pass the cost of higher taxes on to customers.

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Produce, beer and juice

One of the first places shoppers may feel the impact of increased tariffs is in the grocery aisle.  The United States imported $9.9 billion worth of vegetables and more than $11 billion worth of fruit and frozen juices from Mexico last year.

“The proposed tariffs would have a significant impact on food prices,” David Ortega, a food economist and professor at Michigan State University, said before the tariffs were officially enacted.  Price hikes would come after years of high inflation in grocery aisles, a top concern for Americans in the last election.

The majority of America’s avocado supply comes from Mexico, as well a sizable amount of tequila and most of the imported beer Americans drink.  Like many products, Mexican beer is often made in partnership with the United States — using barley from Idaho or Montana, for example.

It wouldn’t be easy to quickly replicate the food supply domestically, Ortega said.  Fruit trees, for example, take years to mature.  Labor costs are often higher in the United States, and drought and weather could hinder growing.

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Vehicles and car parts

More than half of goods classified as automotive vehicles, parts and engines come from Canada and Mexico.  Canada was also the main exporter of industrial supplies to the United States, including building supplies, oil and metal materials used to manufacture other products.

Cars are often made between the United States and its closest neighbors, and parts go back and forth across the border during the manufacturing process.

“There’s no such thing as an American-made car.  We have an integrated North American supply chain,” Brusuelas said.

About $173 billion worth of automotive vehicles, parts and engines came from Mexico alone last year.

The proposed tariffs will make it more attractive to manufacture and assemble cars in the United States, said Erik Gordon, a clinical assistant professor of entrepreneurial studies at University of Michigan. He expects car companies might have to readjust their strategy, perhaps making versions of cars with fewer bells and whistles to keep costs under control.

Many other industries also rely on parts and materials made internationally, even if the final product is made in the United States — for example, the country imported $93 billion worth of crude oil from Canada last year.

“There are very few things you could pull apart and say it’s made 100 percent in the U.S.A.,” said KPMG chief economist Diane Swonk.

So, there you have it.  Higher prices across-the-board.

I say blame Trump for what occurs.  He doesn’t know much about what tariffs do.  Neither do those who voted for him.

I only hope we can find a way to survive the next four years.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

On this Sunday, there ought to be something better to write about than Donald Trump.  No doubt there is, but here I go again.

I’d bet that many people who voted for Donald Trump had no idea of what the word “tariff” meant.

Now, they know.  Or at least they will soon.

The reality is that they – not to mention the rest of us – will play more for lots of stuff and we’ll owe the responsibility directly to Trump.

Here’s the definition of tariff:  “A tax or duty to be paid on a particular class of imports or exports.”

Just think of it this way:  It is a tax imposed by one country on another country’s imports to that country.  So, it is a tax.  And, in the case of taxes, someone pays – and it will be you and me.

Here is how the Washington Post summarized Trump’s action, which I find to very negative for the U.S.:

“On Saturday, Trump imposed tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, the nation’s three largest trading partners, invoking emergency economic powers in a high-stakes bid to compel them to crack down on illegal immigration and drugs reaching the United States.

“The president signed three executive orders establishing the measures, the first official actions of his second-term trade war, according to a White House official who briefed reporters.”

No surprise – “Trump tariffs” drew immediate retaliation from all three countries.

From the Post:

“The tariffs drew sharp replies from the leaders of Canada and Mexico, as well as immediate opposition from business and labor groups, which warned of profound upheaval throughout the economy.  For the typical U.S. household, the tariffs will mean a loss of about $1,200 in annual purchasing power, according to the Budget Lab at Yale University, a non-partisan research center.”

So, under Trump, we now are facing a trade war.

I blame Trump for this war, one we are not likely to win – and one where the effect will be that all of us will watch various prices go up at the very same as Trump promised to take inflation.

Join me in assigning responsibility to Trump.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

I have written about this before, but I still cannot believe all the smart people running professional golf cannot solve one of its major problems:  Slow play.

One or both of the following actions would solve the problem.

• Impose penalties on golfers when they exceed the time allowed to play under current official golf rules, one of which is that, when it is your turn to play, you have 40 seconds to do so.  Unless you encounter a problem on a shot such as being close to a tree;l they have an additional 10 seconds to play.

• Inject a shot-clock into the process much like occurs in professional football, basketball, and now even, baseball.  This was tried successfully in Europe when, behind every group, a cart drove with a shot clock on the back of the cart for all to see.  Penalties were imposed.

Easy?  Yes.

Controversial?  Perhaps.

But golf’s leaders better do something before slow play prompts more and more viewers to opt out of watching golf on TV.

Players, too, should get the message.  Speed up.

One of my on-line golf magazines wrote about the subject this way, using the euphemism “competition adjustments:”

• Rulings really clog things up.  The Tour intends to make more “virtual rulings” or at least get officials on the scene faster using its video review center back at Tour HQ in Florida.

• Rangefinders (distance-measuring devices) are going to be tested beginning this year.  Whether that’ll speed things up remains something of an open question, but Tour officials said they’re going to collect data at some upcoming events.  [Data would be good because I, for one, could argue both sides of this issue – rangefinders speed up play; rangefinders slow play.]
  
  
• In a typical pro tournament, there are just too many people on the golf course for things to flow.  One quote that stood out:  “Slower players have been allowed to hide.”  Next year’s reduced field sizes should help, as should more data collection (though it also is true that reducing field sizes also means that players trying to make it on tour will have a tougher time doing so).
  
  
• The Tour is finally considering naming and shaming.  Leaders know how long it takes every player on Tour to hit each type of shot.  Fines have been handed out behind closed doors.  And tournament officials have met with slow-play offenders to try to help them speed things up.  But one tweak under consideration is sharing penalty data publicly in the interest of greater transparency (and, theoretically, peer pressure).

Okay. 

Do all that. 

And impose penalties, too.  For those who make a living playing, such action will get their attention.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

The best answer to the question in this blog headline is who knows.

The chief at the start of Donald Trump’s new term is Susie Wiles, who ran Trump’s campaign for a new term in the White House.

In Trump’s first term he had four chiefs of staff and wouldn’t let any of them do the job of running the White House.  So, of course, he fired them. Trump always thought he was the smartest person in any room so anyone who had the guts to question him soon was shown the door.

Chris Whipple, the author of “The Gatekeepers:  How the White House Chiefs of Staff Define Every Presidency” and the forthcoming “Uncharted:  How Trump Beat Biden, Harris and the Odds in the Wildest Campaign in History,” wrote about this in a recent column for the New York Times.

Here is one of his main points:

“Heading into a second term, Trump will have one advantage that eluded him the first time around:  A White House chief of staff, Susie Wiles, who was one of Trump’s 2024 campaign co-managers and showed an uncanny ability to impose discipline on his disorder and was widely credited with piloting his political comeback.”

And another point:

“For Wiles, running Trump’s White House effectively may well be a mission impossible.  He churned through four White House chiefs in just one term.  Three found it almost impossible to impose any order and the fourth, Mark Meadows, really didn’t try; he seemed content to go along with most anything Trump wanted (including many of his efforts to overturn the 2020 election).”

So, does Wiles bear responsibility for some of Trump’s early mistakes, such as proposing to get rid of birthright citizenship and freezing all federal government spending?  On the latter, it turned out that the original “federal freeze” order was issued before even coordinating with the White House on the content of the order.

Those mistakes – pure Trump from his first term – occurred on Wiles’ watch and that reality doesn’t bode well for her tenure when issues, national and international, will become even more complex.  Such complexity won’t bother Trump – he doesn’t care about details and consequences.  But mistakes should bother Wiles.

Or, how about this from Phillip Bump in the Washington Post as he commented on Trump’s performance in meeting with the press to talk about the plane crash in D.C.?

“It wasn’t surprising that Trump turned a gathering ostensibly focused on sharing information with the public into a conversation focused on himself and his politics, that it became an airing of grievances and an effort to pass the buck.  No one even moderately familiar with Trump would be taken aback by that.  Instead, it was jarring — a visceral reminder of how different Trump’s approach to the position is than any prior president save himself.”

And, even late night hosts Jimmy Kimmel got into the act:

“A terrible thing happened.  All he had to do is go out there and say, ‘This is a tragedy,’ offer some comfort to the families, to the military families, promise to get to the bottom of it.  But he can’t do that, because he’s callous, he’s racist, he’s sexist, and, most of all, he’s stupid.  He’s a deeply stupid man.”

And, what, if anything, does Wiles do about this?  Probably nothing because it’s just Trump blabbering on with no evidence behind his invective.

In general, I have paid attention to “chief of staff” issues in Oregon where every governor has one, including the one I worked for in the Administration of Oregon Governor Vic Atiyeh.  Her name is Gerry Thompson and she and I are still friends to this day, many years after our time together in the Governor’s Office.

In Oregon and in Washington, D.C., the chief of staff is essentially in the second in power after the governor or president.  His or her word goes.

The chief of staff is a “gatekeeper,” guarding the door to the Governor’s Office or the Oval Office because not just anybody can – or should — get in.  But, good chiefs also don’t just let those in who agree with the chief officer; they let in others who, without being overbearing, have thoughts to share that a governor or president needs to hear.

According to Whipple, Ken Duberstein, Ronald Reagan’s final White House chief of staff, once observed that ‘campaigning is trying to destroy your opponents, while governing is making friends with them.’  In his first term as president, Trump did not get the difference, and his tenure was often overwhelmed by dysfunction and chaos.

“Most modern presidents learn, sometimes the hard way, that they can’t govern effectively without empowering their chiefs of staff to execute their agendas.  A chief wears many hats:  He or she is the president’s gatekeeper, confidant, javelin catcher, enforcer and occasional therapist.

“Understated but imposing and not easily intimidated, Wiles may well be Trump’s best hope of having an effective presidency.”

In trying to manage Trump’s second White House, Whipple says Wiles would do well to consider the model of her predecessor in the role, Jeff Zients, Joe Biden’s second chief of staff.

Zients succeeded Ron Klain, an empowered chief with keen political instincts and a quick Twitter finger who wasn’t afraid to advocate policy.

From Whipple:

“Wiles seems to share with Zients a less extroverted personality and management style.  The F.D.R.-era Brownlow Committee once described the ideal White House adviser as having ‘a passion for anonymity.’  

“Unlike some larger-than-life chiefs — James Baker under Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, or Leon Panetta under Bill Clinton — Zients fits the private bill, shunning interviews and TV appearances.  This under-the-radar approach has also been Wiles’ modus operandi.”

The final resality for Wiles, the campaign manager, now chief of staff, is this:

“When a president-elect goes rogue on the campaign trail, saying something outrageous, that’s one thing.  But, if a president goes rogue from the Oval Office, lives can be lost.”

Wiles, Whipple says, may well represent the thin line between the president and disaster.

And, from me, to use the shopworn phrase, “only time will tell.”

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

My friends at Church at the Park are doing two things – (a) doing good work in the community for those in need, including homeless persons, and (b) writing about their work in a newsletter sent all around our community.

Here is the headline of the most recent newsletter, a very good message for today, especially given what is happening in Washington, D.C.

“One key interpretive question to ask of a text, is “For whom are these words good news?”  Here, the answer seems straightforward:  This is good news for the poor, the captives, the blind, and the oppressed.

“Our mission statement at Church at The Park is taken from another passage in that same story — Luke 14:  To create a banquet of love and acceptance for those who need it most.  

“Everyone needs love and acceptance, but there are those in our community who do not experience belonging simply because of where they sleep, or because of the color of their skin, or because something about them does not sit well with the majority culture.  

“For us, we participate in the work of building shalom by eating meals and walking alongside the marginalized, not because we consider ourselves to be holy or righteous, but because God asks us to.  And because that is where the peace and the presence of God are most visible.  

“Additionally, it is worth saying that sometimes shalom means helping and standing with those who are in need and sometimes it means confronting the systems that are driving people into poverty and homelessness.”

Good words!

The fact is that God asks us, as Christians, to be about the business of doing “good works,” not to earn a way to God, but, in the way one of friends described it, “as a result of our salvation.”

Church at the Park does this well, serving as a model for other communities.

I hope it – and another solid organization in the Salem area, Salem for Refugees – survives in the current political marketplace.

And, in that marketplace, another fact is that Donald Trump knows nothing about what the Bible says about “loving your neighbor.”

Here’s what the Bible says:

“A basic scriptural admonition to care for others is ‘Love your neighbor as yourself,’ found in Leviticus 19:18, which essentially instructs people to treat others with the same kindness and compassion they would want for themselves.”

So, in conclusion, I accept and value this inaugural message, not the other one.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

I cannot resist.  I wrote yesterday about Donald Trump’s autocracy – he’s always in charge, no matter what the law says.  But I do so again today, given what Trump is still doing.

It is not a surprise to learn that no one in the administration of Donald Trump knows what they are doing.  [Notice that I did not use a capital letter for the word administration because it is not clear that real “administration” exists in Trump world.]

Trump froze all federal fund programs when what he apparently wanted to do was stop those related to his executive orders.  Apparently, he couldn’t tell the difference.

Even so, several of those orders were blatantly illegal and are being challenged in court, so stopping money for them might be illegal, too.  But Trump and his minions don’t care.

He just issued a “stop paying” order so all federal funds stopped flowing, even Medicaid, as some states learned the hard way – no money.

A federal judge acted quickly to block Trump’s plan before it was set to go into effect late Tuesday afternoon.  Still, some money had already stopped flowing. 

U.S. District Judge Loren Alikhan said she was granting a “brief administrative stay” that preserves federal disbursements at least until Monday at 5 p.m. EST after a group of non-profit and public health organizations filed a lawsuit. 

So, to add to my blog yesterday, a new category is this:  Trump can’t even impose an order the way he wants.  He is not smart enough and has no understanding of the federal government, unless he functions as a dictator asking others simply to do his bidding.

I fear for the country’s well-being.

So does Dana Milbank in the Washington Post in a column that appeared under this headline – “The Trump White House has no idea what the Trump White House just did.”  Here is what he wrote:

“In just eight days on the job, Trump has taken a wrecking ball to the federal government, and he and his aides apparently couldn’t be bothered to give any thought to the damage and chaos that would ensue.

“It’s not just the spending freeze.  It’s the willy-nilly, and probably illegal, firing of federal employees, the federal hiring freeze, the moratorium on foreign aid, the threats and bullying unleashed on allies, and the moves to muzzle government agencies to eliminate accountability.

“The sheer volume of executive orders and actions stunned critics into silence.  But, as the scene in the briefing room illustrated on Tuesday, reality is already beginning to catch up with Trump.”

And, in Atlantic Magazine, Tom Nichols wrote this:

“Trump’s wave of executive orders is designed to be performatively malicious.  My colleague Adam Serwer years ago noted that, for the MAGA movement, ‘cruelty is the point,’ and now Trump’s orders make clear that the malice is the policy.”

So, this conclusion from me:  It may be that Trump does not know what he is doing, which is bad.  Or, perhaps he does know and just doesn’t care – and that’s worse.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

I went golfing yesterday without worrying about Donald Trump.

Wise move.

But, then a frost delay meant we would tee off a bit later than normal.  So, with time on my hands, I had no choice but to come up with the following thoughts about Trump.  Couldn’t help myself.

• Consequences – he doesn’t understand the consequences of his over-the-top actions, or if he did, he wouldn’t care

Example:  Threatening to impose a 25 per cent tariff on goods from Colombia because that country wouldn’t bow to Trump on immigration flights, yet Colombia is one of America’s prime supporters in the region

• Laws – he doesn’t care what laws say, having violated many so he carries a felon label into the White House

Example#1:  He fired inspectors general in 17 federal agencies despite the fact the law requires a 30-day notice to Congress if he wanted to do what he did

Example #2:  He tried to end birthright citizenship, thus scrapping the constitutional right that anyone born in the United States receives citizenship, regardless of their parents’ legal status (various legal challenges are pending)

Example #3:  He’s freezing money that Congress approved to spend…he ordered the Executive Branch to stop spending billions of dollars on a variety of issues that run counter to his agenda, like climate mitigation, infrastructure spending, foreign aid, and money for “sanctuary” cities…but Congress approved this spending during President Joe Biden’s term, and for the most part, presidents must spend the money that Congress appropriates…they can’t just hold it, or “impound” it because they don’t agree with it…that would be in violation of the Impoundment Control Act

• Conflicts – he, of course, thinks he has none…if his actions accrue benefits for him, including financial benefits for his pocketbook, so be it

Example:  And, if the federal government produces financial results for companies run by him or his family, good

• Tariffs – guess who will pay higher costs when Trump imposes tariffs – you and me

Example:  Same as above regarding Colombia because the reality is that all of us – including Trump’s MAGA followers – will pay for what he says he wants to do, which is impose tariffs on every country

• Immigration – Some of those who voted for Trump are now being deported

Example:  Many these individuals were surprised as they were rounded up and put on flights to somewhere — deportation

• Appointments – management credentials don’t matter to Trump… after all, he has none himself…thus many of his Cabinet-level appointments have no management experience either

Examples:  Peter Hegseth, Tulsi Gabbard, Robert Kennedy, Kash Patel – none of have management credentials to manage anything…and, of course, neither, as I said above, does reality-TV host Trump…and consider this about Kennedy… he has made millions by referring clients to trial lawyers, and he advocates mass tort litigation that would ruin the vaccine industry, on top of which he opposes most vaccines…so, in effect, what he says is “good luck on your health”

Amber Phillips wrote this in the Washington Post:

“…Trump made clear his first week that he has no qualms about pushing the boundaries of presidential power to shift the government and the nation to the far right.

“Experts say several of his actions might be illegal or unconstitutional, and at least one has been challenged in court.

“But it’s not clear what else could stop these policies from being implemented or what consequences Trump might face for taking potentially illegal actions.  He was impeached by House Democrats in his first term for doing something similar but acquitted by a Republican Senate.

“Then the Supreme Court gave Trump and all former and future presidents immunity from official acts.  Watchdog groups say congressional intervention will be needed to keep some of these potentially illegal moves from being implemented.  But Republicans control both chambers and Democrats and are still trying to figure out how to respond to the avalanche of changes Trump made in his first week.”

And, don’t rely on Republicans to be a check on Trump autocracy.  So far, all they are doing is bowing and scraping to him.

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

This blog headline is meant to indicate that many fears about Donald Trump as president are coming true – and that there is nothing that rational people can do about it.

I, of course, am a rational person.

Two examples:

From columnist George Will in the Washington Post:  Before Peter Hegseth was confirmed as the director of the Defense Department (it took Vice President J.D. Vance to cast the deciding vote for Hegseth in a divided U.S. Senate), Will wrote this:

“A thought experiment:  Suppose you assembled 100 intelligent, public-spirited people experienced with the complexities of managing enormous bureaucracies, deeply familiar with today’s geopolitical challenges, alert to the importance and sensitivities of allied nations, and acquainted with large private-sector manufacturing and the precarious condition of the U.S. defense industrial base.

“Suppose you asked each of these 100 to list 100 people qualified to be defense secretary.  There could be, cumulatively, 10,000 different names.  

“What is the probability that even one of those would be Pete Hegseth?  Approximately zero.”

Will is absolutely right.  Hegseth would not make the list.  But with Trump?  Hegseth makes the list and it took Vance to drive him over the finish line.

Now, the trouble is that Hegseth will command all American troops.

Oh well!

• From writer Peter Baker in the New York Times who is covering his sixth president and, with his wife, wrote about Trump’s first term:  This headline led Baker’s most recent column:  “People Will Be Shocked:  Trump Tests the Boundaries of the Presidency.”

Baker went on:

“Even more than in his first term, President Trump has mounted a fundamental challenge to the norms and expectations of what a president can and should do.

“On his first full day back in the White House, President Trump reveled in his return to power and vowed to do what no president had ever done before.  ‘We’re going to do things that people will be shocked at,’ he declared.

“Of all the thousands of words that Trump uttered during his fact-challenged, talkathon-style opening days as the nation’s 47th president, those may have been the truest.  No matter that much of what he was doing he had promised on the campaign trail.  He succeeded in shocking nonetheless.

“Not so much by the ferocity of the policy shifts or ideological swings that invariably come with a party change in the White House, but through norm-shattering, democracy-testing assertions of personal power that defy the courts, the Congress, and the ethical lines that constrained past presidents.

“He freed even the most violent of the rioters who assaulted the Capitol in his name four years ago.  Out of pique over questions of loyalty, he stripped former advisers facing credible death threats of their security details.  Disregarding a law passed with bi-partisan support and upheld by the Supreme Court, he allowed the Chinese-owned TikTok app to remain in use in the United States despite serious national security concerns.

“Not satisfied to simply eliminate diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives, he ordered government workers to snitch on anyone suspected of not going along or,’ a practice familiar to anyone of a certain age who lived in Russia.  He fired at least a dozen inspectors general who monitor departments for corruption and abuse in a late-night purge on Friday, ignoring a law requiring him to give Congress 30 days’ notice and provide specific reasons.”

Baker says that Trump, in effect, “declared that he was willing and even eager to push the boundaries of his authority, the resilience of American institutions, the strength of the nearly two-and-a-half-century-old system, and the tolerance of some of his own allies.”

No one knows what’s next in Trump world.  He doesn’t think about the consequences of his actions, believing, as always, that he is the smartest person in every room, so no consequence matters.

So, I continue to fear for the future of America under Trump. 

Perspective from the 19^th Hole is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf.  Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon (Les AuCoin), as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist.  This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.  I could have called this blog “Middle Ground,” for that is what I long for in both politics and golf.  The middle ground is often where the best public policy decisions lie.  And it is where you want to be on a golf course.

We have heard a lot of about Donald Trump’s first day in the office as the president, but I’ll bet he was not prepared for a surprise.

My wife found the following story and passed it on to me.

For some reason, Trump, who wouldn’t know real religion if it hit him in the face – remember, he considers himself to be a god – went to the National Cathedral on Tuesday.

He got an earful.

Here is how newspapers described the situation.

“Trump began his first full day in office attending a prayer service at the Washington National Cathedral on Tuesday and got a sermon he may not have been expecting:  An appeal to protect immigrants and respect gay rights.

“A day after declaring in his inauguration speech that there were only two genders in America and signing executive orders to crack down on immigrants, Episcopal Bishop Mariann Edgar Budde pleaded with Trump, from the pulpit, to show mercy on people who were ‘scared’ of what is to come.

“’There are gay, lesbian and transgender children in Democrat, Republican and independent families, some who fear for their lives,’ Budde said.”

The fear arises because, last Monday, Trump launched a sweeping immigration crackdown, assigned the U.S. military to aid in border security, issued a broad ban on asylum, and took steps to restrict citizenship for children born on U.S. soil.

Budde responded this way:

“’The people who pick our crops and clean our office buildings, who labor in poultry farms and meat-packing plants, who wash the dishes after we eat in restaurants and work the night shifts in hospitals, they may not be citizens or have the proper documentation, but the vast majority of immigrants are not criminals, she said.

“I ask you to have mercy, Mr. President, on those in our communities whose children fear that their parents will be taken away, and that you help those who are fleeing war zones and persecution in their own lands to find compassion and welcome here.  Our God teaches us that we are to be merciful to the stranger.”

I hope other “Buddes” will stand up to call for even-handed actions by the president and cronies, which, at the same time, I know is too much to ask.

Here is what one letter-to-the-editor writer wrote in the Washington Post:

“Budde’s sermon was not a political statement.  It was a call for empathy and moral character, which Trump does not apparently possess.  As a preacher, I plan to use every opportunity to draw attention to the need for civility, compassion and, especially, the common good.  I pray that our leaders will rise above political fealty and do the same.”

From Trump, no surprise.  After he heard the Budde remarks and was asked about them, he dismissed them.  Plus, he then demanded an apology from Budde that he won’t get because Budde stands by her comments which are based on scripture.

Billionaire Elon Musk, a staunch Trump ally, knocked Budde in a post on his social media platform, X. “She got the woke mind virus real bad,” he said.

However – and I did not know this — Musk is the father of a transgender daughter, so he must have at least some mixed emotions about some of Trump’s proclamations.

The Atlantic Magazine chimed in with this summary of what I’ll label “early Trump.”

“Trump has clearly claimed some territory in the culture wars:  He is now dancing with Village People in the flesh, not merely to a recording of the group’s most famous track.  And when it comes to getting away with self-dealing and abuses of power, he has mastered the system.

“But a politician and a party that are built for propaganda and quashing dissent generally lack the tools for effective governance.  As far as policy accomplishments are concerned, the second Trump term could very well turn out to be as underwhelming as the first.

“Trump has promised a grand revolution.  At a pre-inaugural rally, he announced, ‘The American people have given us their trust, and in return, we’re going to give them the best first day, the biggest first week, and the most extraordinary first 100 days of any presidency in American history.’

“He branded his inauguration ‘Liberation Day’ labeled his incoming agenda a ‘revolution of common sense,’ and boasted, ‘Nothing will stand in our way.’ After being sworn in on Monday, he signed a slew of executive orders in a move that has been termed ‘shock and awe.’

“Those orders fall into a few different categories.  Some are genuinely dangerous — above all, the mass pardon of about 1,500 January 6 defendants, which unambiguously signals that lawbreaking in the service of subverting elections in Trump’s favor will be tolerated.  Others, including withdrawing from the World Health Organization and freezing offshore wind energy, will be consequential but perhaps not enduring — that which can be done by executive order can be undone by it.”

The Atlantic added this coda:

“What’s really striking is how many fall into the category of symbolic culture-war measures or vague declarations of intent.  Trump declared a series of ‘emergencies’ concerning his favorite issues.  His order declaring an end to birthright citizenship seems likely to be struck down on constitutional grounds, although the Supreme Court can always interpret the Fourteenth Amendment’s apparently plain text as it desires.

“He is re-renaming a mountain in Alaska — which, in four years’ time, could be renamed yet again, perhaps after one of the police officers who fought off Trump’s insurrection attempt.  He has ordered the federal government to officially recognize only two genders, male and female.”

On all this, Atlantic adds that, at least for now, there is no way to tell whether Trump will achieve all his aims, especially with a horde of folks ready to challenge, perhaps in court, what he tries to do to re-make America is his craven image.

So, for today:

1. Kudos to Budde for speaking truth to power, especially because the truth is Biblical truth, and
2. I hope the Atlantic predictions about the potentially short extent of Trump’s power come true.