LOBBYING AFTER BALLOT MEASURE 97 DEFEAT

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

There is a huge question facing the business community after it banded together as never before to kill Ballot Measure 97 by a wide margin, 58 to 41 per cent. That question is in the form of two parts:

  1. Should the business community head to Salem quickly to offer potential compromise solutions to political leaders in Salem, all of whom are Democrats – Governor Kate Brown, House Speaker Tina Kotek and Senate President Peter Courtney, not to mention the Republican leaders, Representative Mike McLane, R-Powell Butte, and Senator Ted Ferrioli, R-John Day? [Note: Two of them, Brown and Kotek, endorsed Measure 97.]

Or:

  1. Should the business community hold its own counsels in private about possible revenue issues for the State of Oregon, revenue issues that might be acceptable to the business community if those issues were part of a larger, bi-partisan plan? This assumes the business community would avoid heading to Salem until or unless the Democrat leaders ask for help.

According to multiple sources in and around the Capitol, a wild card in all of this is the large underfunding problem in the Public Employee Retirement System (PERS). The business community believes that solving the PERS problem should be part of the plan, but that might be difficult for Democrat leaders, given public employee union support for PERS, even though anyone involved in budget-making in Salem has to reckon with PERS.

My vote is for #2 above. The rationale:

  • The business community coalesced in a way not seen recently in Oregon to kill Measure 97. It raised nearly $30 million to do the deed because the governor and legislative leaders were not able to craft a compromise proposal that would pass muster at the legislature and/or with voters. Nor were the leaders able to convince public employee unions to stand down from offering a poorly-drafted and poorly-conceived measure.
  • This is not the time to cash in the influence of the coalition quickly in favor of some kind of alternative.
  • Let the leading Democrats in Salem come to the business community to ask for help to craft a compromise measure that will help the state fund important priorities – K-12 education, higher education, cops and prisons, and health care…plus the elephant in the room, the PERS problem.
  • Instead of heading off to Salem, business representatives should meet behind closed doors to discuss whether there are tax alternatives, which could be advocated, and be prepared to advocate for those alternatives if there is a compromise process.
  • Waiting is a better strategy at the moment because public employee unions, which lost the Measure 97 battle, already are advocating a major, new tax measure at the Capitol, one that even goes beyond Measure 97. If the D leaders respond to that kind of one-sided proposal, it will only mean another damaging campaign at the polls.
  • Plus, it is important for the business community not to isolate Republican leaders in Salem who stuck with business in the Measure 97 campaign. Those leaders should be involved in any attempt to craft a solution.

The new legislature in Salem won’t be gathering at the Capitol until early January, then will begin meeting in earnest in February.

For the leaders, it is not too early to be mapping a strategy to do the tough work in the session, which is to balance the budget in a bi-partisan fashion. That will be a major test of legislative success in 2017.

And a footnote:  By position, the only political leader with the moxie to bring disparate interests together is Governor Kate Brown.  Her background in the legislature, where she dealt with business leaders, put her in a good position now to ask for help…if the “ask” involves all interests with something at stake.  So far, she has not taken up the challenge, but there is still time.

 

 

 

AVOIDING THE UNHEALTHY MIX OF POLITICS AND RELIGION

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

It’s hard to realize that we have just come through a very controversial election and are moving on soon to a new set of issues in Washington, D.C

But, amidst all of those issues, many of which will fester as the incoming Trump Administration plots it course, there is one that has caught my attention. It is the relationship between politics and religion.

This matters to me because of my service, for 12 years, as chair of the Governing Board of Elders at Salem Alliance Church in Salem. It seemed to be a fairly large church as we joined it when we moved to Salem in 1979, but since then it has grown to nearly 5,000 participants.

As chair of the Board, my position, as well as that of the Board, was that politics and religion should not mix. Persons who have convictions as followers of Christ – I am one of those – cannot be characterized by such labels as Republican or Democrat, or liberal or conservative or anything. Each individual is a single person with personal convictions and priorities.

We avoided politics from the pulpit, as well as other places in the church. The only caveat was that, if the senior pastor felt led of God to make a comment about an issue – for example, abortion – then he should consult with Governing Board members before making comments. And, with that advice in hand, he could make the comments God led him to make. By the way, that did not include telling persons in the audience how to vote.

All of this strikes home to me even more today, especially because of this headline in a recent Wall Street Journal article:

Breaking Up With Your Church Over Politics

The contentious election is a ripe topic for sermons but is sending some churchgoers to the doors

The newspaper went on to report the case of Brandi Miller, a campus minister at the University of Oregon:

“The election is over and so is Brandi Miller’s religious affiliation. ‘On Nov. 8, white evangelical Christianity and I called it quits,’ she wrote in a message posted on Facebook. Evangelicals have decided who and with what they will associate. It’s not me.

“Church is often the place where people seek comfort and community in unsettling times, but the contentiousness of this election has filtered into the pews. In a sign of lingering partisanship, some people have looked for another place to worship, having split with their pastor over politics. Others are staying but feel estranged, wondering how a person a pew away backed a pro-choice candidate, for instance, or supported someone who demeaned immigrants.

“We have a lot of fingers pointed at each other saying ‘You are not Christian,’ ” says Megan Sutker, who was ordained in the United Church of Christ, works as an interfaith minister and belongs to the Episcopal Church. She worries the split will exacerbate disillusionment with organized religion, at a time when mainstream churches are already experiencing declines. Even messages from the pulpit urging unity can be loaded, with some people feeling it diminishes their concerns.”

My view is that persons of any political persuasion should feel welcome at our church because, for one reason, we don’t deal with politics. We deal with issues of a person’s relationship to Christ.

The point is that churches, if there are to be what I call “seeker friendly,” as well as being welcome places for their members, should avoid taking sides on political issues.

 

THE LOSS OF ABILITY TO FIND THE MIDDLE GROUND SWEET SPOT IN PUBLIC POLICY

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

The New York Times carried a story today that reports a lament about the loss of compromise in Washington, D.C., a lament I share for Oregon.

It was a piece on the retirement of R. Bruce Josten, who had been the lead lobbyist for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce for years on such issues as trade, tax and energy.

He was called the master of the “inside game,” another way of putting in shorthand his ability to work both sides of the aisle to help produce middle ground compromise.

The story used a headline to which I don’t subscribe, saying that Josten mourned the loss of the “smoke-filled backroom.” For me, I don’t like the image of the smoke-filled room, but the point holds: To produce compromise, you often have to head into a room out of the glare of cameras and notepads and do the hard work of finding compromise among disparate interests.

After all, compromise is the actual definition of the word politics.

Here are a few good excerpts from the NY Times article:

  • He had to “watch his specialty — sophisticated legislative give-and-take — become less prized in a polarized capital. Washington has become an ‘I win, you lose’ town rather than a ‘how do we get this done’ town where those skilled in what he calls the ‘art of the back room’ can have a big effect.’”
  • “I like to be able to negotiate and go back and forth,” said Mr. Josten, recounting how he would shuttle proposals between congressional players on big bills. “That is what I did. It was a big part of closing a deal to get it out of committee, to get it to an actual floor vote to passage. And that doesn’t happen anymore. I actually do miss the smoke-filled rooms of yesteryear,” said Mr. Josten, and not just because he quit smoking after a health scare three years ago. “Because you got a lot done.”
  • Josten is more concerned with the trend toward one party going it alone legislatively, using its power to impose its priorities on the other as the Democrats did with the health care law and Republicans are threatening to do by repealing it. That approach is not sustainable in the long run, he said. “If you want durability and lasting law, the only way to really achieve it is to engage both sides of the aisle and reach an outcome that the president, regardless of party, will sign because of the product itself,” he said.
  • “He sees a current political and legislative climate marked by a certain inflexibility and intransigence that is not conducive to compromise and ends with little being accomplished. From time to time, you work with your adversaries,” said Mr. Josten, who became the chamber’s chief lobbyist in 1994, as the organization faced a membership revolt over the chamber’s initial endorsement of key elements of the Clinton administration’s health care proposal. “You’ve got to be able to separate certain things at certain times and do what is right for your constituents. I think it just became harder and harder for the politicians to do that and I think that has had an impact on all of us in town.”
  • With Republicans about to assert themselves, Mr. Josten fears they will not learn from the mistakes made by Democrats when they had control of the White House and Congress and will “ram them and jam them” on taxes and health care. He suggests another course for Republicans who think there is but one alternative. “Why don’t you try it the old-fashioned way would be my recommendation,” Mr. Josten said. “Let’s have a real give and take.” “I always felt it shouldn’t be really easy to legislate,” he said. “It should be a bit of a challenge. You should have to work at it.”

I could write similar statements about the loss of the ability to find compromise at the State Capitol in Salem. Too often, it is a “I win, you lose” mentality, which does not usually produce good policy for Oregon.

Most of the real solutions to tax, energy, health care, education and transportation lie somewhere in the middle.

The trick in Washington, D.C. and Salem is finding those sweet spots.

BUDGET LEADERSHIP COULD COME FROM GOVERNOR KATE BROWN

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

There was an interesting development last week in Oregon that gives pause to those of us who believe there could be or should be middle ground in a battle over how money state government should have.

The only leader with the credentials and moxie to bring parties together is the governor, Kate Brown. She has not acted so far, but her background holds promise that she could play the leadership role.

Even after getting killed at the ballot in November – Ballot Measure 97, a tax on sales, not profits, lost by 19 points – advocates for higher taxes on business are upping the ante. They call themselves “Better Oregon,” an ironic name for a coalition of Our Oregon, unions and advocacy groups, which may, in fact, not be working for a better Oregon.

Incredibly, the group is claiming victory at the polls despite the overwhelming result the other way.

Our Oregon executive director Ben Unger, who appears to have no idea about what Oregonians really want or, perhaps, doesn’t care, contends the campaign in support of Measure 97 did nothing wrong.

As the Portland Tribune put it, “Unger says the main thing his side failed in was to match the opposition’s checkbook.”

So, instead of coming to the Capitol in Salem prepared to work to cut a deal with business about funding – and, to be sure, business leaders believe there should be more funding, especially for K-12 schools and higher education — Unger and his cronies just want more money.

Thus, they are proposing a new $5 billion tax on business, which they hope legislators will consider as they gather in Salem after the first of the year.

Even Tim Nesbitt, past president of the Oregon AFL-CIO, said he thinks the pro-tax side spent a lot of money on a flawed measure (the Measure 97 measure) while missing an opportunity to capitalize on the voters’ mood.

“There was an opportunity here to seize a populist moment and make some long-awaited progress on business tax support for services,” he told the Portland Tribune. “But it had to be well-designed and well-calibrated for it to succeed.”

Nesbitt said Measure 97 was neither.

What Oregon needs now is a leader with the moxie to bring disparate interests together to find middle-ground and way to fill what is estimated to be a $1.7 billion hole in the 2017-19 state budget. Get opponents in the same room. Knock heads for a real “better Oregon.”

Governor Brown could do it.

But, in an early sour note, she appeared at the recent Business Summit to lecture business leaders that they needed to come to Salem with more money on their own. So soon after the Measure 97 defeat, it came across a little like asking the winning team to forfeit its victory.

Legislative sessions carry at least two challenges. First, they represent an opportunity for leaders to emerge to develop compromises that serve the future of Oregon. Second, they can devolve into contention, pitted rhetoric and disagreement.

The question for Oregon? Which purpose will be served this time around. Early signals are not positive, but there is a lot of time between now and the end of the legislative session next June and that is time Governor Brown could use to display her leadership credentials.

IS MIDDLE GROUND POSSIBLE IN POLITICS: AN ADDENDUM

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

My friend, Bentley Gilbert, responded to my post yesterday on political middle ground with these words:

“I think the problem lies with ad hominem charges directed at one another rather than giving reasoned disagreements with one another’s ideas. However, this, has been a problem since the beginning of the Republic, the beginning of democracy or the beginning of speech. The only rhetoric I can control is my own.”

Bentley is exactly right.

In the past, Bentley represented different sides in public employee union disputes in Oregon — he for the unions and me for management.  But, as I remember our duels in comments with the media, we always stayed away from personal attacks.  It was enough to discuss the different viewpoints on a union contract.

So, I hope all of us can take Bentley’s advice — watch your words in political issue because “the only rhetoric you can control is your own.”

 

 

 

DOES MIDDLE GROUND EXIST IN POLITICS? MAYBE NOT

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

I ask this question about the middle ground in politics, which has been a hallmark for me, given what we’ve all been through in the last election.

I have always thought that the middle ground was a good place to be — not liberal, not conservative, but, instead, interested in what could be labeled the smart center.

But it may not exist today.

We face a pitted environment where people on either side appear to hate each other and engage in hate-filled speech. The mantra appears to be — if you don’t agree with me, then you are wrong and I’ll prove it by calling you a liar and a cheat.

Whether nationally or in a state like Oregon, advocating for middle ground – the smart or sensible center – cannot be easily translated into a sound bite that works in a TV or radio ad or in social media, the latter of which is becoming the go-to place to “make news.”

Another reason why middle ground is so difficult to find relates to what two authors call “the permanent campaign.” Christopher H. Browne distinguished professor of Political Science at the University of Pennsylvania, and Dennis Thompson, Alfred North Whitehead professor of Political Philosophy at Harvard University – suggest that “political compromise is difficult in America, even though no one doubts it is necessary, because of the incursion of campaigning into governing in American democracy.”

They add that the “permanent campaign” encourages political attitudes and arguments that make compromise more difficult.

“These constitute what we call the uncompromising mindset, characterized by politicians’ standing on principle and mistrusting opponents. This mindset is conducive to campaigning, but not to governing, because it stands in the way of necessary change and thereby biases the democratic process in favor of the status quo. The uncompromising mindset can be kept in check by an opposite cluster of attitudes and arguments — the compromising mindset that inclines politicians to adapt their principles and respect their opponents. This mindset is more appropriate for governing, because it enables politicians more readily to recognize and act on opportunities for desirable compromise.”

Over my years as a lobbyist at the Capitol in Salem, I have seen legislators structure what they do and how they act in relation to the next campaign, not in the best interests of solving pressing public policy problems. They appear to be interested in the next headline rather than the next piece of public policy.

Another factor is that there are fewer and fewer legislators – or, for that matter, governors — who have the ability to lead disparate interests to find middle ground. You only have to look at Governor Kate Brown who, with an opportunity to invite business and labor to a negotiating table in the aftermath of the defeat of Ballot Measure 97 (a tax on profits, not sales), chooses instead to up the ante on her side of the ledger, more taxes.

Let me cite just one example from the past where a political leader led an effort to find middle – the past which doesn’t have many prologues to the current or future. Former senator Neil Bryant, a Republican from Bend, had a special ability to lead toward the smart middle. He was often turned to as THE senator to take on difficult, controversial assignments.

After Oregonians adopted an assisted suicide ballot measure by a 60-40 vote, Bryant and others at the Capitol, me included, noted that the “immunities clause” in the new law was poorly drafted.

So, even in the aftermath of the strong, affirmative public vote, Bryant convened a group of interests to work toward crafting better immunities language. I was there as a representative of Providence Health System, a large health care provider in Oregon that has an affiliation with the Catholic Church. Representatives of the assisted suicide advocacy group, Right to Die, were there, as well. We even sat next to each other.

In a decision made by Bryant, a representative of the Catholic Church was not allowed to participate because his client, the Church, could not compromise on any issue — the church’s view was that compromise was unethical, so the lobbyist was left on the outside.

After several weeks of meetings, under Bryant’s leadership, the group crafted a middle ground position – with far superior language to what had been approved at the polls and, again with Bryant’s leadership, the bill became law.

In this venture, I had to compromise as Providence’s representative and I won’t spend time or words outlining all of the specific compromise language, but one thing was and is clear – middle ground was found on a tough issue due to a top-level leader and a group willing to work together despite differences.

Finding middle ground requires, not only leaders with the skills to knock heads to produce compromise, but followers who have, to use the term coined by the two authors above, “a mindset open to compromise.”

If someone wants only to get their way and tell others to take the highway, leaders cannot do much to find the smart middle.

For government to work, I believe everyone must get back to the best definition of politics – the “art of compromise” – or, in my words, “finding the smart middle, the sensible center.”

To be sure, those holding elective office will have to consider the next campaign, but that doesn’t mean they have to be involved in a permanent campaign. They – and those of us who elect them – should be heavily invested in the process of governing.

We need leaders who will lead and followers who will follow.

 

 

 

 

IF TRUMP TWEETS, IS IT ALWAYS NEWS?

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

That question is making the rounds of news offices these days, given the proclivity of the nation’s incoming president, Donald Trump, to turn to the social media site, Twitter, at the drop of, well, a hat such as the baseball cap he often wears to keep his hair in place.

The basic answer from responsible media figures today appears to be “yes.”

Even though there is concern about the character of the president-elect’s tweets, media experts believe they cannot ignore what the nation’s political leader says, including on social media. Good reporters will spend some time and effort trying to put into context what Trump tweets, but ignore them – no.

Since election day, Trump, via tweets, has proposed a U-turn in American diplomatic relations with Cuba, boasted about negotiations with a major manufacturer (Carrier), trumpeted (pardon the play on words) false claims about millions of illegal votes, and hinted that he might upend current free speech laws by banning flag burning.

All, as the New York Times put it, “in 140 characters or less.”

Thus, editors are grappling with how to cover a president-elect who appears to have a new idea about presidency-media relations. Less access. Fewer, if any, press conferences. More White House press room reporters sitting on their hands. More social media, even at unpredictable times, such as at about 12:15 a.m. when Trump tweeted to criticize Alec Baldwin’s impersonation of him on Saturday Night Live.

“Anything that a president would say – even if it was libelous or scandalous – it’s the president talking, and I think you report it,” according to Chris Wallace, the host of the Fox News Sunday broadcast. “Under any definition, it’s news, whether it’s sensible or not, factual or not, productive or not.”

A Washington Post editor was quoted in the New York Times as saying that, if Trump tweets, it is much like what presidents have said on the walk to a helicopter ride away from the White House. “In this post-election period, anything he (Trump) says, in any way, you have to consider it, and you have weigh whether it deserves a story.”

Oregon Public Broadcasting (OPB) President Steve Bass – the news operation at OPB reports to him – said much the same thing in a meeting earlier this week. He said it was not right to ignore tweets, but also said it was important for reporters and editors – including those at OPB — to provide context for them.

Wall Street Journal columnist Daniel Henninger, in a piece this week, went farther by labeling Trump a “performance artist.”

He is challenging what we think is normal—first for a presidential campaign and now for the presidency.

“He’s Andy Warhol silk-screening nine Jackie Kennedys. You can’t do that. Oh yes he can. Currently Donald Trump is silk-screening American corporations: Ford, Carrier, Rexnord, Boeing.

“Lady Gaga once talked about the doubters in an interview: ‘They would say, ‘This is too racy, too dance-oriented, too underground. It’s not marketable.’ And I would say, ‘My name is Lady Gaga, I’ve been on the music scene for years, and I’m telling you, this is what’s next.’ And look . . . I was right.’”

“Who does that sound like?

“In ‘The Art of the Deal,’ Donald Trump described what he was up to: ‘I play to people’s fantasies.’

“Anti-Trumpers will say: Precisely. We can’t have a performance artist as president of the United States.

“That’s irrelevant now.”

Reporters and editors would do well to keep the performance artist image in mind as they work to determine how to cover this new, mercurial president.

A footnote: At least at the moment, it appears that we do not have political leaders in Oregon who try to make news via tweets and other social media outlets. Good. I say make news the regular way by doing good public policy and work with reporters and editors to write about the process and the results.

FACT: INTERVENING ON CARRIER ISSUE SAVED JOBS IN THIS COUNTRY

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

As a former deputy director of Oregon’s Economic Development Department – now called Business Oregon – President-elect Donald Trump’s action to get involved in the “Carrier issue” set off positive notions, as well as alarm bells.

More applaud than alarm, however, because saving jobs for the U.S. is what leading political figures should be doing. President Barack Obama sat on his hands. President-elect Trump jumped into the fray.

Saving jobs in the nation’s Rust Belt is just what Trump said he would do when he ran for election. And the fact that he inserted himself in the issue produced a solid result, at least in public relations terms. About 800 jobs remain in the U.S., which otherwise would have headed south.

Important to note here that Trump had a huge resource in Indiana where the Carrier jobs were located: His vice-president-elect, Mike Pence, is governor of that state and it was relatively easy for him to vote for and gain approval for the incentives Carrier won to keep the jobs in Indiana.

If – or, more likely, when – Trump inserts himself in other states, he won’t have Pence. But he will have the bully pulpit of the Oval Office.

Many are questioning what Trump had to do to keep the Carrier jobs and whether he will be able to keep up the intervention. Some have said that there are not enough incentive dollars around to grant awards to all the companies considering re-locating manufacturing operations to Mexico or other countries where wages are far lower. And others have commented that Trump’s action were in no way conservative, which means there should have been no government intervention in private business.

Here is how my friend Ron Eachus wrote about the subject in the Salem Statesman-Journal where he is an editorial columnist:

“He got involved. He intervened. He pressured them and got a small, but symbolically important win. Whatever else one might think of his persona or proposed policies, he demonstrated why so many in the Rust Belt saw him as the best choice when it came to protecting their manufacturing jobs from globalization and international trade.

“It was a personal, hands-on approach they’d been hoping for. And for the time being, a success. But such a victory in an early skirmish comes with a siren call — an alluring appeal to entice one to ignore or disregard the inherent danger of the course taken.

“The president-elect, now negotiator-in-chief, says he’s going to do this all over the country, using threats of public humiliation and imposition of tariffs and promises of really big corporate tax cuts and regulatory relief to cut deals. But private individual deal making with companies lacks transparency and will inevitably lead to an inconsistent and inequitable treatment of companies that could further undermine the economy and faith in the political process.

Duplicating Carrier isn’t going to be that easy. It helped that vice president-elect Mike Pence was also still governor of Indiana, thus chairman of the board of the state agency that granted $7 million worth of public dollar incentives to Carrier. Getting similar concessions for other companies in other states might not go as quickly or smoothly.”

Ron is right. It won’t be easy for Trump to duplicate his Carrier success.

But my view, one honed during my days at Oregon’s Economic Development Department, can be summed up in one phrase: Every job counts.

If a president or a governor acts to save, not just one job, but 800 jobs, so much the better. Especially for those whose jobs are saved.

Even recognizing all of the political pros and cons here – disparate views about the role of government in saving or helping to create jobs – it always has been a mystery to me why “the jobs issue” ranks so low on many political priority lists.

It should be higher.

Those with the saved jobs have the benefit of the jobs. They support their families. They pay taxes.  They know the worth of working.

So, at least for a time, let’s set aside the debate about whether government should act. Just save the jobs.

OBAMA BUILT HIS HOUSE ON THE SAND — AND IT WON’T LAST

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

Washington Post writers put it bluntly in a headline a few weeks ago: “The fall of the house of Obama is coming, and it’s his own fault.”

That was a reminder that President Obama came into office on a pledge to restore bi-partisan order in the Nation’s Capitol ,but did almost the reverse when he could not get his way.

To go around Congress, which would not do his bidding, he turned to executive regulations.

According to Washington Post:

“The safety-pin-wearing left is aghast at the realization that President Donald Trump could actually follow through on his promise to cancel every unconstitutional executive action, memorandum and order issued by President Obama on his first day in office.”

Further:

“The reason Obama’s legacy is so vulnerable today is that the 44th president relied more on executive actions – issuing not only executive orders, but also a record number of rules, regulations, agency directives to legislate around Congress and impose his agenda.

“After he lost control of the Senate in 2014, Obama announced at his first Cabinet meeting: We’re not just going to be waiting for legislation…I’ve got a pen and I’ve got a phone and I can use that to sign executive orders and take executive and administrative actions to move the ball forward.”

Now, some on the left would say that Obama had no choice because Republicans in Congress would not work with him to find middle ground. Perhaps. But, what a president, any president, must do is cajole, pester, persuade and do everything in the substantial power of the Oval Office to prod action out of Congress, regardless of which party is in charge.

Obama, in particular, should have worked the middle because of the pledges he made while running for and winning the presidency.

Washington Post writers contended that Obama “set a land speed record” for major regulations which, taken together – there were more than 600 – cost the economy $100 million or more.

Here are a few Obama orders that likely will be overturned.

  • Immigration: When Obama could not pass his immigration reform to provide amnesty for entire categories of people not in the U.S. legally, he tried to impose it on the American people.
  • Cap and trade: When Obama could not pass his environmental cap-and-trade bill, he used the Clean Air Act to impose it by executive action and, in the process, twisted the meaning of the law that even the New York Times contended was beyond credibility.
  • Guantanamo Bay: With a stroke of his pen, President Trump can reverse Obama’s order to close the prison.
  • Climate change: Trump can scrap the climate change deal that Obama signed in September 2016, which is non-binding in the first place.
  • Transgender bathrooms: Remember this piece of stupidity. It will be relatively easy to quash the Education Department’s requirement for higher education institutions to allow transgender students to use bathrooms that do not match their biological gender.
  • Clean power plan: It will not be as easy to trash the so-called “clean power plan” operated by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) because the EPA would have to revoke it formally, which could lead to litigation. There is little doubt but that Trump will try.

There are some in Washington, D.C. who suggest that Trump would really shake things up by issuing a single executive order on day one of his Administration repealing all of Obama’s executive orders. Then, the Administration could go back and decide which ones to reinstate.

Obama, who claimed to build his Administration on the rock of bi-partisan consensus, actually, to quote a Biblical reference, was a “foolish man who built his house on the sand.”

Thus, it won’t last. Just watch what happens starting January 20, 2017.

FEDERAL HEALTH CARE: TRUMP ON TRACK TO REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMACARE

PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as a Congressional press secretary in Washington, D.C., an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.

We are in for substantial changes in the way health care operates in this country.

That much is clear with President-elect Donald Trump’s pending appointment of Representative Tom Price of Georgia to be Health and Human Services cabinet secretary.

Trump made the announcement of Price’s appointment earlier this week, but, of course, as with most other high-level appointments in the new Trump Administration, Price’s elevation is subject to Senate confirmation.

Price won plaudits from some quarters in Congress when, as a representative, he proposed the “Empowering Patients First Act.”

According to the New York Times:

“His proposal would take health care in a fundamentally different direction, away from mandated coverage and care and toward a free-market approach, with fewer consumer protections and more freedoms for doctors.”

Senate Republican Mitch McConnell said “I can tell you where we’re going to start: With a process to repeal and replace ObamaCare.”

The “repeal and replace” language is noteworthy because it is viewed by congressional leaders to be easier to repeal ObamaCare, then replace it, than it would be simply to change ObamaCare. The point is that Americans, if Trump and Republicans have their way, would be left with a new health care plan, not nothing

Here is a list of key changes Price’s proposal would make:

  1. The requirement for insurance to cover pre-existing conditions would be available, not to everyone, but only to persons who have maintained coverage in the past, for example moving to the individual market from an employer’s health care plan.
  1. The mandate for Americans to have health insurance or pay a tax penalty would be eliminated, as would the requirement for larger employers to offer coverage.
  1. Instead, the Price proposal would offer tax credits for purchasing individual and family health insurance policies and also would use other tax breaks to coax more people into using personal health savings accounts.
  1. The bill would make it easier for doctors to defend themselves against medical malpractice lawsuits, especially if doctors followed clinical guidelines for treating medical conditions.
  1. The bill would make it easier for doctors to enter into private contracts with Medicare beneficiaries, thus opting out of federal Medicare structures.
  1. The bill would eliminate the federal health insurance exchanges, though states could contract with private entities to provide information – but only information, not enrollment – on prices and benefits offered by insurers.
  1. The bill would offer federal grants to states to form high-risk pools to subsidize insurance for low-income persons who otherwise might have difficulty finding insurance on the open market.
  1. The bill would allow insurers licensed in one state to sell policies to residents of other states.

There is more to the Price proposals than this list, but here’s hoping that the “Empowering Patients First Act” becomes a starting point for a larger, bi-partisan discussion of how to reform health care so it works better than ObamaCare.

It should not be the end and, with Democrats sure to be involved, it won’t be.

One of the huge problems with ObamaCare was that it was imposed by Democrats. It was not a product of a bi-partisan debate and decision. Therefore, its good points – and there are a number of them – were obscured by the “one size fits all” solution.

If Price and other Administration officials are smart, they will focus on replacing ObamaCare, not just repealing it.

And, if cooler heads prevail – a tough challenge in the emotionally-tinged political environment we have just survived – the result will be a better health care policy for all Americans.