PERSPECTIVE FROM THE 19TH HOLE: This is the title I chose for my personal blog, which is meant to give me an outlet for one of my favorite crafts – writing – plus to use an image from my favorite sport, golf. Out of college, my first job was as a reporter for the Daily Astorian in Astoria, Oregon, and I went on from there to practice writing in all of my professional positions, including as press secretary in Washington, D.C. for a Democrat Congressman from Oregon, as an Oregon state government manager in Salem and Portland, as press secretary for Oregon’s last Republican governor (Vic Atiyeh), and as a private sector lobbyist. This blog also allows me to link another favorite pastime – politics and the art of developing public policy – to what I write.
Wall Street Journal columnist Gerald Seib proposed a good question in his column this week.
He asked what Democrats really want as they draw closer to a decision about who will run against Donald Trump.
Do they want someone like Bernie Sanders who, Seib contends, wants to overthrow the system?
Or, do they want someone like Michael Bloomberg who, Seib says, wants to overthrow Trump?
How Democrat voters make this decision over the next weeks will tell two tales: The first, obviously, is who will run against Trump; the second, perhaps a bit less obviously, is who will have the best chance to beat the person who sits in the Oval Office.
The fact Seib mentions only Sanders and Bloomberg could sell short other competing for the D mantler– Joe Biden, Amy Klobucher, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg.
But, regardless of the specific candidate, Seib asks a very central question. He is what he wrote:
“To say that Bernie Sanders and Michael Bloomberg are different is one of those statements that is at once both entirely true, yet woefully insufficient.
“For all the differences that separate the Vermont senator and the former New York mayor, though, the most profound one is very simple: They offer divergent theories of what the 2020 presidential election is all about. Sanders believes Democrat voters are ready to overthrow the system. Bloomberg thinks they merely want to overthrow President Trump.
“The question of which approach Democrats are buying is central to the fate of these two unconventional candidates, and to the whole scrambled Democrat presidential race.
To buttress his point, Seib cites a bit of history.
“One of the most important aspects of any presidential campaign is the theory of the race: What is it that voters are really looking for that year? Ronald Reagan won in 1980 because voters were ready, after an ineffective Democrat presidency, for a turn in a conservative direction. Barack Obama won in 2008 because voters were seeking, in the midst of a deep financial slide and a depressing war in Iraq, a candidate who represented both hope and change. Donald Trump won in 2016 because voters wanted somebody who would defy the establishment of both parties.
“This year, the Democratic primary fight turns on the question of what the party’s rank-and-file are most yearning for: a genuine revolution, or a simple change in command.
It also is instructive to see how Sanders and Bloomberg are treating Trump, either directly or indirectly.
The Sanders campaign, Seib says, “proceeds from a belief that Trump won because he captured the anger and dissatisfaction of working Americans, but now is vulnerable because he hasn’t really made working-class concerns the center of his presidency.”
More from Seib:
“Still, the fact that Sanders is running against Trump is almost secondary; the Sanders view of society’s economic injustices is the same one he would be offering regardless of who was on the Republican line.\
“It’s similar to the one he offered four years ago—and, indeed, is similar to the one he has been offering for four decades. Sanders believes that the Democrat Party is finally ready to buy in.”
By contrast, Seib says the Bloomberg candidacy exists for one reason — to defeat Trump.
“Bloomberg’s argument is that he is both tough enough to do it, and has the wherewithal to do it. Bloomberg’s disdain for the president oozes from his every ad and every appearance, as does his belief that he, as a fellow New York big shot, and a more successful one than the president at that, has Trump’s number.
“Nowhere was that more clear than in the tweet Bloomberg fired out a few days ago, after he had been belittled by Trump. Speaking directly to the president, Bloomberg declared: ‘We know many of the same people in NY. Behind your back they laugh at you and call you a carnival barking clown.’”
No doubt Trump hated the reference, along the coming campaign trail, he’ll get more from Sanders, Bloomberg or whomever wins.